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MLS · ActivePulled just now · Confidence Low

123 Magnolia St, Tampa, FL 33602

2 bed · 1 bath · 1,080 sqft · Townhome · Built 1967 · Lot 4,045 sqft

Estimated as-is value
$261,000

Range $243,000–$280,000 · ±14%

$/sqft
$242

vs submarket median 68d DOM

Submarket regime
Heating

+7.5% YoY · 3.3mo inventory

Live deal verdict
Wholesale strategy

Good Deal

/ 100

Strong wholesale deal

ARV math, repair bucket, and exit market all line up. Make the offer.

Confidence score82/100· CI 77–87

Move fast. The numbers and the regime agree.

What's working

  • Submarket is heating — prices +7.5% YoY with 68d median DOM.
  • Comp set is tight — top 5 average 85% similarity to subject.
  • Insurance premium ($1,670/yr) is well below national average for the regime.

What to watch

  • Elevated new-construction pressure (310 permits, Meritage +289).
  • Median DOM is 68d (-6.6% YoY) — plan exit accordingly.
Persona summary · Wholesale MAO at $177,000 on ARV $277,000 (~36% buffer). Exit strong · 58d expected DOM.

AI insights · trained on 8 years of submarket history

60 monthly observations for this ZIP · 4,588 ZIPs in the model · last trained Jun 2026

Live model
  • Pricing
    High confidence

    Forward 12mo price drift modeled at +6.1%

    Trained on 60 months of ZIP 33602 history, the model expects a price index move of -0.5% to +12.8% over the next year, with a midpoint of +6.1%. Current regime is heating (hotness 80/100), and the historical heating sample shows 60 monthly observations comparable submarket-months to draw from.

    60 obs · Jul 2021 – Jun 2026

  • Timing
    High confidence

    Submarkets at 3.3mo inventory historically take 8–10 months to revert

    Across 323 ZIP-quarters in the trained dataset, an inventory band of 2.8–3.8 months persisted 11 months on average before the next regime shift. Operators who acted in the first half of the window saw a measurable edge on exit pricing.

    200 obs · 2018 – present

  • Timing
    Medium confidence

    Closest historical pattern: Jun 2024 (82% similarity)

    Inventory sat at 3.8 months — the same band as today. By the next year, the index moved +3.8% and DOM settled at 73d. Sideways momentum favored operators with a sub-90-day exit horizon.

    191 obs · Jul 2021 – Jun 2026

  • Pricing
    High confidence

    Comp set is in the top ~24% of similarity for this ZIP

    Top 5 comps average 85% similarity. ZIPs with comp tightness above 80% historically delivered ARV miss <4% on wholesale exits in our trained sample (1135 flips since 2020).

    1,528 obs · 2020 – present

ARV (mid)

$277,000

Range $263,000–$294,000

MAO @ 70% rule

$177,000

After $14,500–$19,500 repairs

Repair bucket

Light

Refines on walkthrough

Marketability

Strong

~58d expected DOM

Top comps

Ranked by similarity

  • 6027 Oakridge Ave

    Sold 91d ago

    Sold1/1.5960-120 vs subj$267$256,0000.16 mi66d DOM
    88%

  • 736 Riverbend Ave

    Sold 136d ago

    Sold2/1980-100 vs subj$272$267,0000.20 mi27d DOM
    85%

  • 7675 Oakridge Way

    Sold 93d ago

    Sold3/11,180+100 vs subj$264$312,0000.33 mi63d DOM
    85%

  • 2521 Highland St

    Sold 46d ago

    Sold3/11,070-10 vs subj$243$260,0000.62 mi78d DOM
    85%
Showing 4 of 7 comps · open the Comps tab for the full set.

Market & supply at a glance

ZIP 33602

Hotness80/100
YoY
+7.5%
DOM
68d
Inventory
3.3 mo
Reduced
30%
Builder pressureElevated
  • Meritage+289
  • NVR+106
  • Toll Brothers+105

310 permits / 12mo

Generate a shareable artifact

One model. Four ready-to-send outputs. Open, print, or share with the counterparty in the next 60 seconds.

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Picked for you

Cash buyers · JV partners

Buyer / Dispo Packet

Comps, ARV, repair budget, MAO, and offer tiers in a packet you can fire to your dispo list.

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Home sellers

Seller Pricing Deck

Branded smart-CMA: pricing band, expected DOM, comp set, market story, and a ready-to-send recommendation.

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Picked for you

Investment committee · LPs

Investment Memo (IC / LP)

Underwriting, market regime, forecast, historical analogs, and a Go / Watch / Pass recommendation.

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Property owners · Renewal calls

Owner Market Report

Submarket rent and demand snapshot, cost trends, and a hold / raise / sell recommendation.

Pre-filled with 123 Magnolia StGenerate
Same engine as the dashboard — point estimates plus confidence bands, comp citations, and a model card link in every footer.ARV $277,000 · List $261,000 · Rent $2,125/mo

Fair Housing safe-mode

On

No protected-class attributes used to score, rank, or target.

MLS entitlements

Verified

IDX/VOW display and seller opt-out rules respected per market.

Model card

v2.4 · Jun 2026

Confidence bands, sample N, and feature list available per output.

Trained on

60 obs

4,588 ZIPs · 8y history

Demo data is generated deterministically from the address. In production, the Leod model is trained on 8 years of MLS, off-market comps, permits, builder activity, insurance, and tax data across 4,500+ ZIP codes — retrained monthly.